Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA WEST - ROUND 9

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Neuer Tivoli (Aachen)


	Alemannia Aachen		Köln II

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.95
	2.1	3.6	3.1
	2.01	3.59	3.54
	1.99	3.6	3.34
	2.04	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.12)	3.56 ↓ (3.6)	3.21 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alemannia Aachen
45.3%

Draw
25.9%

Köln II
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Köln II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Alemannia Aachen - Köln II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aachen won 4.

Recent matches Aachen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Köln II is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aachen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Aachen won 11 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 31-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Aachen won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alemannia Aachen
German Regionalliga West
24.09.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Alemannia Aachen	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Alemannia Aachen - Rödinghausen	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.09.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Alemannia Aachen	4:2 ✺
German Regionalliga West
02.09.23	Gütersloh - Alemannia Aachen	1:1 ✺
25.08.23	Alemannia Aachen - Schalke 04 II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLTT
- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
23.09.23	Rödinghausen - Köln II	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Köln II - Schalke 04 II	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.23	Glesch-Paffendorf - Köln II	0:2 ✺
German Regionalliga West
03.09.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Köln II	0:2 ✺
26.08.23	Köln II - Wuppertal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
15.04.23	Köln II - Alemannia Aachen	0:2
21.10.22	Alemannia Aachen - Köln II	3:1
20.04.22	Alemannia Aachen - Köln II	1:1
15.09.21	Köln II - Alemannia Aachen	1:3
23.04.21	Köln II - Alemannia Aachen	0:2
21.11.20	Alemannia Aachen - Köln II	0:0
31.08.19	Köln II - Alemannia Aachen	4:2

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