Match Info

3. Liga - Round 8

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: New Tivoli (Aachen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nather M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Germany	16:30	DFB Play, Magenta Sport
Usa	10:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
International	14:30	OneFootball TV


	Alemannia Aachen		Viktoria Köln

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.40	2.75	Watch
	2.20	3.75	2.85
	2.15	3.65	2.88
	2.29	3.60	3.10
	2.3	3.71	2.74	Watch
	2.20	3.40	3.05
	2.26	3.57	2.89	Watch
	2.22	3.60	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.03)	3.59 ↓ (3.78)	2.89 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alemannia Aachen
41.9%

Draw
25.9%

Viktoria Köln
32.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.5%

24.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

25.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alemannia Aachen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Viktoria Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alemannia Aachen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Köln than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Alemannia Aachen - Viktoria Köln Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Riemann M. (G) 37. Kiala J. 28. Wiebe D. (C) 2. Bagkalianis P. 7. Scepanik L. 8. Koster L. 10. Loune M. 3. Wagner M. 17. Torsiello F. 20. Ermolaev G. 27. Schroers M.	1. Schulz A. (G) 19. Sponsel M. 6. Eisenhuth T. 18. Kloss T. 28. Fallmann P. 8. Duman T. 20. Swider N. 7. Tonye Y. 44. Castelle N. H. 21. Wolf L. M. 10. Otto D. (C)
Substitutes
15. Hanraths M. 22. Hendriks T. (G) 18. Izekor K. 29. Koscierski K. 4. Leonard D. 9. Starodid D. 38. Sulejmani V. 30. von der Hitz J. 11. Waschenbach M.	39. Albers F. 24. Amann J. 22. Boboy V. 11. Gueye E. B. 16. Jahn N. 26. Jakob K. 37. Maboulou N. 17. Pledl M. 9. Sachse J. 12. Wyciok D. (G)
Coaches
Selimbegovic M.	Wilhelm M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
11', 0 - 1, Tonye Y. ⚽, Fallmann P. (A),
20', 0 - 2, Wolf L. M. ⚽, Duman T. (A),
22', 1 - 2, Scepanik L. ⚽, Wagner M. (A),
38', 1 - 3, Kloss T. ⚽,
40', 1 - 4, Otto D. ⚽, Eisenhuth T. (A),
42', Eisenhuth T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Sponsel M. 🟨,
58', 1 - 5, Castelle N. H. ⚽,
60', Tonye Y. ↓, Jakob K. ↑,
60', Castelle N. H. ↓, Maboulou N. ↑,
64', Koster L. ↓, Starodid D. ↑,
64', Wiebe D. ↓, Leonard D. ↑,
64', Schroers M. ↓, Izekor K. ↑,
69', Loune M. 🟨,
72', Loune M. ↓, Waschenbach M. ↑,
73', Wolf L. M. ↓, Jahn N. ↑,
73', Sponsel M. ↓, Boboy V. ↑,
76', Bagkalianis P. ↓, Koscierski K. ↑,
84', Duman T. ↓, Amann J. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 5, Scepanik L. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 2nd in the Promotion - 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aachen won 3.

In recent outings, Aachen has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Viktoria Köln is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Aachen has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:31 (averaging 1.1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aachen against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 8:12 goals (averaging 0.9:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Viktoria Koln	11	7	2	2	30:15	15	23
5	Alemannia Aachen	11	5	2	4	17:17	0	17

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Alemannia Aachen: 3.94%

Last Results with these Odds

Alemannia Aachen - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.51%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Viktoria Köln - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.01%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alemannia Aachen
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Eupen - Alemannia Aachen	3:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Würzburger Kickers - Alemannia Aachen	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Alemannia Aachen - Jahn Regensburg	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	Ingolstadt - Alemannia Aachen	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLTW
- Viktoria Köln
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Viktoria Köln - Köln	2:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Viktoria Köln - Ingolstadt	3:0 ✺
15.09.26	Meppen - Viktoria Köln	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	Viktoria Köln - Hansa Rostock	4:0 ✺
05.09.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Viktoria Köln	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
10.05.26	Viktoria Köln - Alemannia Aachen	0:3
13.12.25	Alemannia Aachen - Viktoria Köln	0:3
14.02.25	Viktoria Köln - Alemannia Aachen	3:1
15.09.24	Alemannia Aachen - Viktoria Köln	1:0
Club Friendly
18.01.20	Alemannia Aachen - Viktoria Köln	4:1
German Regionalliga West
16.11.18	Alemannia Aachen - Viktoria Köln	1:1
29.07.18	Viktoria Köln - Alemannia Aachen	2:1

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