Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 3

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday


	Alessandria		Padova

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.4	1.66
	5.45	3.32	1.7
	5.5	3.1	1.65
	5.4	3.32	1.67
	5.2	3.35	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.41 ↑ (3.92)	3.3 ↑ (2.99)	1.66 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
17%

Draw
27.8%

Padova
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

30.6%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

29.9%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alessandria's form might have worsened.

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Padova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alessandria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Padova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alessandria - Padova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Liverani L. (G) 23. Ciancio S. (C) 8. Rota A. 31. Ercolani L. 6. Belgiovine D. 24. Mastalli A. 4. Nichetti M. 21. Nunzella L. 7. Gazoul M. 11. Anatriello G. 18. Pellegrini L.	1. Donnarumma A. (C) 4. Belli F. 13. Crescenzi L. 2. Delli Carri F. 26. Kirwan N. 15. Bianchi N. 7. Varas K. 10. Radrezza I. 14. Villa L. 20. Bortolussi M. 21. Liguori M.
Substitutes
80. De Ponti O. 27. Ghiozzi M. 32. Giubilato L. 30. Gueli D. 39. Jeremy M. 26. Mame A. 14. Pellitteri A. 15. Ronci A. 3. Rossi E. 12. Rossi L. (G) 66. Sepe A. 72. Vaughn C. 22. Virano R. (G) 90. Volpe M.	25. Calabrese B. 17. Capelli A. 11. Dezi J. 30. Favale G. 8. Fusi P. 23. Granata A. 19. Palombi S. 12. Rossi R. (G) 77. Russini S. 99. Zanellati A. (G)

Preview

Alessandria is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Padova is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Alessandria have a series of home games.

In this match Padova is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
10.09.23	Virtus Verona - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
04.09.23	Alessandria - Novara	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.08.23	Alessandria - Juventus U23	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Alessandria - Chieri	2:1 ✺
30.07.23	Alessandria - Sampdoria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLWL
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
10.09.23	Padova - Legnago Salus	2:0 ✺
04.09.23	Mantova - Padova	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.08.23	Padova - Campodarsego	1:3 ✺
09.08.23	Union Clodiense - Padova	1:4 ✺
28.07.23	Padova - Sassari Torres	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
08.08.21	Padova - Alessandria	0:2 ET
Italian Serie C Group A
17.06.21	Alessandria - Padova	1:0 penalties
13.06.21	Padova - Alessandria	0:0
08.05.16	Padova - Alessandria	4:0
09.01.16	Alessandria - Padova	1:1

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