Match Info

Serie B - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova)

Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Mantova		Padova

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.15	3.2	Watch
	2.36	3.1	3.48
	2.32	3.35	2.82	Watch
	2.29	3.26	3.36	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.34)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	3.17 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
40.9%

Draw
29.4%

Padova
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

28.1%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	7.7%	38.5%

Mantova - Padova Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Padova will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mantova: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Padova (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Festa M. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 27. Castellini A. 29. Cella S. 6. Bani C. 14. Galuppini F. 36. Paoletti F. 21. Trimboli S. 8. Artioli F. 19. Ruocco F. 9. Mancuso L.	14. Fortin M. (G) 4. Belli F. 32. Sgarbi F. 5. Perrotta M. 30. Favale G. 17. Capelli A. 8. Fusi P. 6. Crisetig L. 7. Varas K. 20. Bortolussi M. 92. Buonaiuto C.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 28. Caprini M. 18. Falletti C. 20. Fedel G. 11. Fiori A. 96. Maggioni T. 37. Majer Z. 23. Marras T. 7. Mensah D. 4. Mullen S. 53. Pittino T. 10. Wieser D.	33. Baselli D. 13. Boi A. 72. Faedo C. 18. Ghiglione P. 44. Harder J. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 11. Seghetti A. 22. Sorrentino A. (G) 77. Tumiatti F. 55. Villa L.
Coaches
Possanzini D.	Andreoletti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Crisetig L. ↓, Harder J. ↑,
56', Buonaiuto C. ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
64', Perrotta M. 🟨,
65', Paoletti F. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
69', Belli F. ↓, Faedo C. ↑,
69', Favale G. ↓, Ghiglione P. ↑,
70', Fusi P. 🟨,
72', Galuppini F. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
72', Mancuso L. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
75', Bani C. 🟨,
76', Fusi P. ↓, Baselli D. ↑,
80', Bani C. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
80', Artioli F. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Ruocco F. ⚽,
85', Ruocco F. 🟨,
90+4', Baselli D. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Mantova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Mantova: Mantovani V. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Padova: Bacci J. (Inactive) Barreca A. (Yellow Cards) Papu Gomez (Suspended) Silva J. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Padova: Di Maggio L. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
02.11.25	Sampdoria - Mantova	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Mantova - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
26.10.25	Bari - Mantova	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Mantova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Avellino - Mantova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLTT
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
01.11.25	Padova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
29.10.25	Spezia - Padova	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Padova - Juve Stabia	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Catanzaro - Padova	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bari - Padova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
08.01.24	Padova - Mantova	0:5
04.09.23	Mantova - Padova	1:1
22.04.23	Mantova - Padova	1:3
17.12.22	Padova - Mantova	1:1
16.03.22	Padova - Mantova	1:0
07.11.21	Mantova - Padova	1:1
Italian Serie C Group B
04.02.21	Mantova - Padova	0:6

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