Match Info

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta (Alessandria)


	Alessandria		Recanatese

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.65
	2.5	2.9	2.7
	2.6	2.75	2.7
	2.55	2.9	2.88
	2.6	2.7	2.8
	2.55	2.86	2.84	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.17)	2.84 ↑ (2.75)	2.76 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
35.2%

Draw
31.9%

Recanatese
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

32.1%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.6%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alessandria's form might have worsened.

Recanatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Recanatese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alessandria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Recanatese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alessandria - Recanatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group B
23.10.22	Vis Pesaro - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
19.10.22	Alessandria - Sassari Torres	0:0 ✺
16.10.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Alessandria	0:1 ✺
09.10.22	Alessandria - Pontedera	2:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Alessandria - Novara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TTWLW
- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group B
23.10.22	Recanatese - Siena	2:1 ✺
19.10.22	Pontedera - Recanatese	0:0 ✺
16.10.22	Recanatese - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
09.10.22	Imolese - Recanatese	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Gubbio - Recanatese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTTLL

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