Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 18

Date: 10 January 2024, Wednesday


	Gubbio		Recanatese

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	4.5
	1.63	3.75	5	Watch
	1.68	3.65	5.35
	1.68	3.63	5.35
	1.6	3.6	4.8
	1.63	3.58	5
	1.66	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.85)	3.63 ↑ (3.1)	4.93 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
56%

Draw
25.3%

Recanatese
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

29%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

27.9%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gubbio's performance.

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gubbio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Gubbio - Recanatese Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gubbio will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Recanatese will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vettorel T. (G) 21. Corsinelli F. 31. Pirrello R. (C) 4. Tozzuolo A. 3. Mercadante M. 5. Mercati A. 6. Casolari F. 18. Chierico L. 78. Bumbu J. 28. Spina M. 99. Bernardotto G.	1. Meli G. (G) 2. Veltri A. 14. Ferrante E. 25. Longobardi G. 3. Quacquarelli G. 8. Carpani G. 4. Prisco A. 16. Morrone B. 7. Pelamatti A. 10. Sbaffo A. 9. Melchiorri F.
Substitutes
33. Brogni G. 23. Dimarco C. 27. Frey D. 77. Greco S. (G) 25. Guerrini V. 9. Montevago D. 19. Morelli G. 90. Portanova D. 8. Rosaia G. 15. Signorini A. 11. Udoh P.	74. Ahmetaj M. 21. Egharevba D. 37. Ferretti D. 11. Lipari M. 22. Mascolo N. (G) 54. Peretti M. 24. Raparo M. 13. Ricci L. 51. Topa E.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Gubbio is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Recanatese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Gubbio is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
07.01.24	Pineto - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
22.12.23	Rimini - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
09.12.23	Pontedera - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Gubbio - SPAL	0:0 ✺
26.11.23	Sassari Torres - Gubbio	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLTL
- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group B
07.01.24	Sassari Torres - Recanatese	3:2 ✺
23.12.23	Recanatese - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
09.12.23	Recanatese - Cesena	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Carrarese - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
27.11.23	Recanatese - Pineto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
14.03.23	Recanatese - Gubbio	0:2
13.11.22	Gubbio - Recanatese	1:3
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Gubbio - Recanatese	2:1

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