Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta (Alessandria)


	Alessandria		Pontedera

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.4	2.7	3.1
	2.24	2.85	3
	2.2	2.98	3.48
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.09	3.22	3.28	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.42)	2.96 ↓ (3.03)	3.18 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
40.8%

Draw
30.7%

Pontedera
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

29.4%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

28.2%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pontedera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Alessandria - Pontedera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Pontedera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Alessandria - Novara	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.22	Rimini - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
24.09.22	Alessandria - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
19.09.22	Alessandria - Reggiana	0:2 ✺
14.09.22	Gubbio - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWLL
- US Pontedera
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Siena - Pontedera	0:1 ET ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
01.10.22	Pontedera - Siena	0:2 ✺
24.09.22	Cesena - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Pontedera - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
14.09.22	Lucchese - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.02.21	Pontedera - Alessandria	0:0
25.10.20	Alessandria - Pontedera	2:0
23.02.20	Pontedera - Alessandria	0:1
06.10.19	Alessandria - Pontedera	0:2
27.04.19	Pontedera - Alessandria	1:2
23.12.18	Alessandria - Pontedera	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
06.03.18	Pontedera - Alessandria	0:1 penalties

Alessandria - Pontedera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide