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Current Win Probability
Sestao 58.4%
Draw 26.4%
Gernika 15.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.9%
24.2%
11.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.1%
23.4%
11.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sestao's form might have worsened.
Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sestao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Sestao - Gernika Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Morales I. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Rojo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 2 - 1, Benito A. ⚽,
69', 2 - 2, Agirrezabala J. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 4.
Sestao is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Gernika has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Sestao is the clear favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 1.6:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sestao won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).
Watch
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