Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	12:00	Footballclub


	Alfaro		SD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.61
	3.8	3.4	1.8
	3.86	4.54	1.74
	4.6	3.6	1.62
	5.02	3.68	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↓ (4.79)	3.74 ↓ (3.79)	1.67 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfaro
20.8%

Draw
24.5%

SD Logroñés
54.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19%

24%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

23.1%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Alfaro - SD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Aguinaga P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Alfaro is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfaro won 1.

Alfaro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SD Logroñés is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, SD Logroñés is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alfaro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Alfaro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	SD Logrones	8	0	4	4	5:13	-8	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.04.26	Alfaro - Náxara	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Tudelano - Alfaro	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Alfaro - Zaragoza B	3:1 ✺
29.03.26	Basconia - Alfaro	6:4 ✺
22.03.26	Alfaro - UD Logroñés	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWLL
- SD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.04.26	SD Logroñés - Zaragoza B	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Náxara - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	SD Logroñés - Basconia	0:3 ✺
28.03.26	Ejea - SD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	SD Logroñés - Utebo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.10.25	SD Logroñés - Alfaro	1:0
Club Friendly
09.08.25	SD Logroñés - Alfaro	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.03.25	SD Logroñés - Alfaro	4:1
20.10.24	Alfaro - SD Logroñés	1:4
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Alfaro - SD Logroñés	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
30.09.18	Alfaro - SD Logroñés	1:3
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
03.09.17	SD Logroñés - Alfaro	2:0

Alfaro - SD Logroñés