Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 32

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Alfaro		Náxara

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.5	1.72
	4.21	3.88	1.72
	4.13	3.94	1.69	Watch
	4	3.4	1.75
	4.11	3.7	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.86)	3.68 ↑ (3.41)	1.72 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfaro
22.1%

Draw
24.8%

Náxara
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

26.5%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

26.1%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Alfaro - Náxara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Campos J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 1, ⚽,
85', 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Alfaro is Relegated to

Alfaro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Náxara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alfaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Náxara could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alfaro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Alfaro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Naxara	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.04.26	Tudelano - Alfaro	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Alfaro - Zaragoza B	3:1 ✺
29.03.26	Basconia - Alfaro	6:4 ✺
22.03.26	Alfaro - UD Logroñés	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Ejea - Alfaro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLT
- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.04.26	Náxara - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Real Unión de Irun - Náxara	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Náxara - Sestao	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gernika - Náxara	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Náxara - Alavés B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.11.25	Náxara - Alfaro	2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
09.02.20	Alfaro - Náxara	0:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
25.02.18	Náxara - Alfaro	3:1

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