Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Alfaro		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	6.7	4.15	1.39
	7.68	4.48	1.4
	7.01	4.52	1.38	Watch
	7	4	1.4
	7.8	4.25	1.36
	6.5	3.9	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.12 ↑ (6.5)	4.22 ↓ (4.25)	1.4 (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alfaro
12.9%

Draw
21.7%

UD Logroñés
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

21.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

20.8%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+1%)

Alfaro - UD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Rosas B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 2, Rivero Q. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent performances by Alfaro have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Logroñés is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Logroñés is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alfaro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Alfaro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.03.26	Ejea - Alfaro	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Alfaro - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Ebro - Alfaro	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Alfaro - Mutilvera	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Utebo - Alfaro	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTLWL
- UD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.03.26	UD Logroñés - Real Unión de Irun	4:0 ✺
08.03.26	Gernika - UD Logroñés	1:3 ✺
01.03.26	UD Logroñés - SD Logroñés	5:0 ✺
22.02.26	Ejea - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	UD Logroñés - Zaragoza B	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	UD Logroñés - Alfaro	0:1
04.05.25	UD Logroñés - Alfaro	1:0
22.12.24	Alfaro - UD Logroñés	0:0
Club Friendly
03.08.17	Alfaro - UD Logroñés	0:2

Upcoming Matches