Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 31 October 2024, Thursday

Location: La Molineta (Alfaro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TV Canaria


	Alfaro		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	9.5	4.33	1.4
	8.75	4.6	1.39
	8.5	4.2	1.38	Watch
	8.41	4.15	1.38
	8.8	4.16	1.41	Watch
	9.5	4.5	1.3	Watch
	10.5	4.75	1.34	Watch
	8.5	4.2	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.06 ↓ (9.34)	4.36 ↑ (4.22)	1.37 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alfaro
10.3%

Draw
21.5%

Tenerife
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10%

22%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

16.8%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tenerife, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Alfaro - Tenerife Predictions

Users Predictions: Tenerife will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pinillos A. (G) 10. Lacruz D. 3. Perez A. 17. Parada Gil A. 4. Balda I. 12. Talarn Granell A. 7. Leon M. 21. Jimenez I. 6. Rubio F. 20. Aguado A. 9. Jimenez L. L.	13. Nadal T. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 31. Perez A. 12. Alves R. 14. Guerrero A. 10. Moreno M. 33. Martin Luis A. 37. Pezzolesi M. 17. Rubio W. 9. Rodriguez A. (C) 8. Diarra Y.
Substitutes
11. Arturo 24. Ayensa U. 28. Casas G. 13. Equiza A. (G) 14. Losantos 2. Martinez S. 22. Morillas Idoate R. 8. Riccobene H. 19. Soeiro K. 23. Sota F.	1. Carrasco S. (G) 11. Cruz Luismi 18. Enric 24. Gaya J. 5. Gonzalez S. 4. Leon J. 27. Manjam A. 3. Medrano F. 22. Mellot J. 30. Padilla S. (G) 34. Senhadji Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Moreno M. ↓, Mellot J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Diarra Y. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
46', Martin Luis A. ↓, Senhadji Y. ↑,
49', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
56', Lacruz D. ↓, Soeiro K. ↑,
56', Jimenez L. L. ↓, Losantos ↑,
57', Senhadji Y. 🟨,
61', Perez A. 🟨,
65', Rubio F. ↓, Casas G. ↑,
65', Jimenez I. ↓, Ayensa U. ↑,
69', Aguado A. ↓, Sota F. ↑,
73', Rodriguez A. ↓, Manjam A. ↑,
73', Perez A. ↓, Gaya J. ↑,
81', Leon M. 🟨,
85', Parada Gil A. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 2)
106', Leon M. 🟨,
111', Pinillos A. 🟨,
112', Perez A. 🟨,
113', 0 - 1, Gonzalez S. (Pen),
118', Enric 🟥,
120+1', 0 - 2, Gonzalez S. ⚽, Senhadji Y. (A),

Preview

Alfaro is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tenerife is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alfaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tenerife is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.10.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Alfaro	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Alfaro - SD Logroñés	1:4 ✺
13.10.24	Calahorra - Alfaro	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Alfaro - Utebo	4:2 ✺
29.09.24	Eibar B - Alfaro	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLTWL
- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
28.10.24	Ferrol - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
24.10.24	Tenerife - Málaga	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Granada - Tenerife	4:0 ✺
11.10.24	Tenerife - Zaragoza	2:3 ✺
05.10.24	Tenerife - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTLLW

Upcoming Matches