Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 14

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Alfaro		UD Logroñés Promesas

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	2.8	3.25	2.3
	3.09	3.2	2.23
	3.09	2.95	2.23
	3.04	3.2	2.17
	2.8	3.25	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.63)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	2.26 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfaro
31%

Draw
28.7%

UD Logroñés Promesas
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.2%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

28.7%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

UD Logroñés Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Alfaro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

UD Logroñés Promesas is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alfaro won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alfaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
03.12.23	Oyonesa - Alfaro	2:3 ✺
26.11.23	Alfaro - Comillas	2:2 ✺
19.11.23	Berceo - Alfaro	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Alfaro - Casalarreina	1:5 ✺
29.10.23	Alfaro - Calahorra B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLLL
- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
03.12.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Anguiano	5:0 ✺
26.11.23	Arnedo - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Alberite	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - La Calzada	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Oyonesa - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
18.03.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Alfaro	0:0
30.10.22	Alfaro - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
11.04.21	UD Logroñés Promesas - Alfaro	0:1
01.12.19	UD Logroñés Promesas - Alfaro	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
07.02.18	Alfaro - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:2

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