The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Berceo 24.5%
Draw 27%
Alfaro 48.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.3%
26.8%
52%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.8%
26.1%
53.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Berceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berceo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
Berceo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Alfaro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Berceo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Alfaro have a series of home games.
In this match Alfaro is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Berceo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Berceo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.