Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 7

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	Alfreton Town		Warrington Rylands

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.40	3.40
	1.85	3.35	3.45
	1.86	3.67	3.55
	1.89	3.78	3.61	Watch
	1.84	3.60	3.50
	2.01	3.67	3.36
	1.89	3.50	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.87)	3.57 ↓ (3.77)	3.48 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
48.2%

Draw
25.6%

Warrington Rylands
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

24.6%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

24.2%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Warrington Rylands has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrington Rylands than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Alfreton Town - Warrington Rylands Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Youmbi D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 1 - 1, Wood H. ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, Hardcastle B. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17).

Alfreton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Warrington Rylands is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alfreton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Warrington Rylands	12	6	2	4	20:17	3	20
8	Alfreton	12	6	0	6	18:13	5	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
English NPL Premier Division
25.08.26	Alfreton Town - Hyde United	4:0 ✺
22.08.26	Stockton Town - Alfreton Town	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Cleethorpes Town - Alfreton Town	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Alfreton Town - Avro	3:0 ✺
11.08.26	Alfreton Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLWW
- Warrington Rylands
English NPL Premier Division
25.08.26	Workington - Warrington Rylands	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Warrington Rylands - Redcar Athletic	0:5 ✺
18.08.26	Warrington Rylands - Quorn	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Bury - Warrington Rylands	1:0 ✺
11.08.26	Lancaster City - Warrington Rylands	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL

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