Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 2

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday


	Alfreton Town		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.10	2.25
	2.78	3.15	2.28
	2.78	3.24	2.29
	2.85	3.4	2.35
	2.7	3.15	2.2
	2.82	3.22	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.44)	3.21 ↓ (3.43)	2.28 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
32.4%

Draw
28.1%

Gainsborough Trinity
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.1%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alfreton Town - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gainsborough will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Ligendza S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 2 - 0, Youmbi D. ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Ashton O. ⚽,
89', Williams K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 4.

Alfreton has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Recently, Alfreton has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 2.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Alfreton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 3.3:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Alfreton	12	6	0	6	18:13	5	18
11	Gainsborough	10	5	1	4	20:14	6	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Alfreton Town - Mansfield Town	0:4 ✺
21.07.26	Alfreton Town - Rotherham United	0:1 ✺
17.07.26	Alfreton Town - Derby County	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Alfreton Town - Boston United	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Alfreton Town - Burton Albion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLLT
- Gainsborough Trinity
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Bradford Park Avenue	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Halifax Town	2:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
25.04.26	Hyde United - Gainsborough Trinity	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Prescot Cables	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Lancaster City - Gainsborough Trinity	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
18.11.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Alfreton Town	1:2
English National League North
27.01.18	Gainsborough Trinity - Alfreton Town	2:1
09.09.17	Alfreton Town - Gainsborough Trinity	4:1
04.02.17	Gainsborough Trinity - Alfreton Town	0:2
English FA Trophy
30.11.16	Alfreton Town - Gainsborough Trinity	4:1 ET
26.11.16	Gainsborough Trinity - Alfreton Town	0:0
English National League North
09.08.16	Alfreton Town - Gainsborough Trinity	4:0

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