Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 18

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Algar		Real Murcia B

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.6	1.6
	4.5	3.42	1.69
	4.76	3.58	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↓ (6.22)	3.53 ↓ (4)	1.65 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algar
19.6%

Draw
25.6%

Real Murcia B
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

22.7%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

22.1%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Real Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Murcia B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algar than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Algar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

Algar has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Murcia B is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Murcia B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Murcia B is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Algar won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Algar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Algar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
20.01.24	Plus Ultra - Algar	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Algar - Bullense	0:1 ✺
07.01.24	Alcantarilla - Algar	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Algar - Cieza	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	El Palmar - Algar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLT
- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.01.24	Minera - Real Murcia B	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Real Murcia B - Plus Ultra	2:0 ✺
06.01.24	Real Murcia B - Balsicas Atlético	3:2 ✺
17.12.23	Bullense - Real Murcia B	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Real Murcia B - Muleño	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
10.09.23	Real Murcia B - Algar	0:0
16.12.18	Algar - Real Murcia B	1:1

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