Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 14

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Algar		Cieza

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.68
	4.6	3.28	1.7
	4.61	3.28	1.7
	4.85	3.34	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↑ (4.28)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algar
19.6%

Draw
27.1%

Cieza
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

26.8%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

26.1%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Cieza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Cieza aligns with the current prediction.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Algar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ciudad de Cieza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ciudad de Cieza is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Algar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Algar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
03.12.23	El Palmar - Algar	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Algar - Montecasillas	3:2 ✺
19.11.23	Pulpileño - Algar	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Algar - Racing Murcia	1:3 ✺
05.11.23	Minera - Algar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWTLL
- CD Cieza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
03.12.23	Cieza - Plus Ultra	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Bullense - Cieza	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Cieza - Alcantarilla	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Cieza - Real Murcia B	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	El Palmar - Cieza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
13.01.19	Cieza - Algar	2:1

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