Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 33

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	San Sebastian Reyes		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	4
	1.68	3.5	4.2
	1.72	3.6	4.5
	1.74	3.48	4.74
	1.74	3.48	4.74
	1.73	3.53	4.58
	1.73	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.42)	3.53 ↓ (3.94)	4.42 ↓ (7.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Sebastian Reyes
53.4%

Draw
26%

Badajoz
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

23.2%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

22.4%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Sebastian Reyes's form might have worsened.

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Badajoz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Sebastian Reyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Badajoz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Sebastian Reyes - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Urain E. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Perero G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
74', 2 - 1, Ocana J. ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, Castri ⚽,
90+7', 3 - 2, Arasa A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches SS Reyes won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match SS Reyes is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches SS Reyes won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-10.

Including matches at home between the teams SS Reyes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.04.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Mensajero	4:0 ✺
14.04.24	Getafe B - San Sebastian Reyes	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Navalcarnero - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Numancia	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTTW
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.04.24	Montijo - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Badajoz - Mensajero	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Badajoz - Getafe B	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Cacereño - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.12.23	Badajoz - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.02.23	Badajoz - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0
20.11.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Badajoz	1:3
26.01.22	Badajoz - San Sebastian Reyes	2:1
24.10.21	San Sebastian Reyes - Badajoz	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.05.21	Badajoz - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1
18.04.21	San Sebastian Reyes - Badajoz	0:4

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