Match Info

AFRICA: AFRICAN NATIONS CHAMPIONSHIP - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Nelson Mandela Stadium (Baraki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
France	beIN Sports Max


	Algeria		Senegal

	1	X	2
	1.75	2.7	6	Watch
	1.82	3	5.25
	1.85	3	5.25
	1.91	2.89	6.04
	2.05	2.75	3.8	Watch
	1.79	3.04	5.35	Watch
	1.91	2.85	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.98)	2.89 ↑ (2.71)	5.27 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeria
50%

Draw
32.3%

Senegal
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

33.7%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

32.4%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Senegal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeria than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Senegal than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Algeria - Senegal Predictions

Users Predictions: Algeria will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Algeria won 3.

Algeria in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Senegal is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Algeria is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Algeria won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeria
African Nations Championship
31.01.23	Algeria - Niger	5:0 ✺
27.01.23	Algeria - Ivory Coast	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Mozambique - Algeria	0:1 ✺
17.01.23	Algeria - Ethiopia	1:0 ✺
13.01.23	Algeria - Libya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW
- Senegal
African Nations Championship
31.01.23	Senegal - Madagascar	1:0 ✺
27.01.23	Senegal - Mauritania	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Senegal - D.R. Congo	3:0 ✺
18.01.23	Senegal - Uganda	0:1 ✺
14.01.23	Ivory Coast - Senegal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
17.12.22	Algeria - Senegal	2:2
Africa Cup of Nations
19.07.19	Senegal - Algeria	0:1
27.06.19	Senegal - Algeria	0:1
23.01.17	Senegal - Algeria	2:2
Friendly
13.10.15	Algeria - Senegal	1:0
Africa Cup of Nations
27.01.15	Senegal - Algeria	0:2

Algeria - Senegal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide