Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Round 2

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Ibn Batouta (Tanger)

Referee: Ghorbal M. (Alg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	AfroSport TV Africa, Azam Sports 1, Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Colombia	Win Sports
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI, RTI 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	Sportitalia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Claro Sports, FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV7
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
South-africa	SABC 2, SABC Plus, SuperSport PSL
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	4Seven, Channel 4
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Inter


	Senegal		D.R. Congo

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	7.5	Watch
	1.62	3.5	6.5	Watch
	1.65	3.46	6.57	Watch
	1.6	3.4	6
	1.56	3.51	7.92	Watch
	1.62	3.4	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.73)	3.46 ↓ (3.68)	6.86 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Senegal
58.9%

Draw
27.3%

D.R. Congo
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

25.6%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Senegal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

D.R. Congo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and D.R. Congo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.1%	26.7%	2.2%

Senegal - D.R. Congo Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Senegal will win (votes: 32 - 71.1%). D.R. Congo will win (votes: 1 - 2.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Senegal: 57.9% – 84.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Senegal (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - D.R. Congo (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Senegal (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Senegal (votes: 13 - 65%). D.R. Congo (votes: 1 - 5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mendy E. (G) Al Ahli SC 15. Diatta K. Monaco 3. Koulibaly K. (C) Al Hilal 19. Niakhate M. Lyon 14. Jakobs I. Galatasaray 5. Gueye I. Everton 26. Gueye P. Villarreal 18. Sarr I. Crystal Palace 13. Ndiaye I. Everton 10. Mane S. Al Nassr 11. Jackson N. Bayern Munich	1. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) Le Havre 2. Wan-Bissaka A. West Ham 22. Mbemba Ch. (C) Lille 4. Tuanzebe A. Burnley 26. Masuaku A. Sunderland 8. Moutoussamy S. Atromitos 10. Bongonda T. Spartak Moscow 6. Mukau N. Lille 14. Sadiki N. Sunderland 13. Elia M. Alanyaspor 17. Bakambu C. Betis
Substitutes
8. Camara L. Monaco 6. Ciss P. Rayo Vallecano 9. Dia B. Lazio 20. Diallo H. Metz 7. Diarra H. Sunderland 23. Diaw M. (G) Le Havre 25. Diouf M. West Ham 1. Diouf Y. (G) Nice 27. Mbaye I. PSG 24. Mendy A. Nice 12. Ndiaye C. Samsunspor 21. Sabaly C. Metz 2. Sarr M. Strasbourg 17. Sarr P. M. Tottenham 4. Seck A. Maccabi Haifa	27. Balikwisha M. Celtic 5. Batubinsika D. St Etienne 15. Bushiri R. Hibernian 20. Cipenga B. Castellon 21. Epolo M. (G) St. Liege 9. Essende S. Augsburg 16. Fayulu T. (G) Noah 11. Kakuta G. Sakaryaspor 24. Kalulu G. Aris Limassol 3. Kapuadi S. Legia 25. Kayembe E. Watford 12. Kayembe J. Genk 19. Mayele F. Pyramids 7. Mbuku N. Montpellier 18. Pickel C. Espanyol
Coaches
Thiaw P.	Desabre S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Gueye P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Bakambu C. ⚽,
62', Sarr I. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
66', Bongonda T. ↓, Mbuku N. ↑,
66', Bakambu C. ↓, Mayele F. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Mane S. ⚽,
73', Mukau N. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
73', Masuaku A. ↓, Kayembe J. ↑,
82', Jackson N. ↓, Diallo H. ↑,
82', Gueye P. ↓, Camara L. ↑,
87', Elia M. ↓, Balikwisha M. ↑,
89', Ndiaye I. ↓, Sabaly C. ↑,

Preview

D.R. Congo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Senegal is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Senegal: Camara I. (Muscle Injury) Diao A. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in D.R. Congo: Stroeykens M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Senegal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Senegal
Africa Cup of Nations
23.12.25	Senegal - Botswana	3:0 ✺
Friendly
15.11.25	Brazil - Senegal	2:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	Senegal - Mauritania	4:0 ✺
10.10.25	South Sudan - Senegal	0:5 ✺
09.09.25	D.R. Congo - Senegal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWW
- D.R. Congo
Africa Cup of Nations
23.12.25	D.R. Congo - Benin	1:0 ✺
Friendly
16.12.25	D.R. Congo - Zambia	2:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
16.11.25	Nigeria - D.R. Congo	1:2 penalties ✺
13.11.25	Cameroon - D.R. Congo	0:1 ✺
14.10.25	D.R. Congo - Sudan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	D.R. Congo - Senegal	2:3
06.06.24	Senegal - D.R. Congo	1:1
African Nations Championship
22.01.23	Senegal - D.R. Congo	3:0

Senegal - D.R. Congo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide