Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 11

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco (Lorca)

Referee: Lopez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN App
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN App
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN App


	Alhama		Madrid CFF

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.1	4.35	1.35	Watch
	7.25	4.43	1.41
	8.11	4.80	1.34	Watch
	7.29	4.11	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.44 ↓ (8.11)	4.42 ↓ (4.8)	1.39 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alhama
12.4%

Draw
20.9%

Madrid CFF
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

19.3%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

15.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alhama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Madrid CFF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhama than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madrid CFF than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madrid CFF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alhama - Madrid CFF Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. de Toro Aldaria E. (G) 2. Zumarraga A. 27. Castineyras C. 5. Yannel 20. Santamaria Coleto A. 14. Velazquez Jurico A. 6. Quintero A. 19. Martinez B. 18. Encarni 7. Yiyi 16. Gestera M.	1. Ulloa P. (G) 19. Mendoza N. 4. Villafane S. 16. Antonsdottir H. 14. Ruiz A. 20. Sosa A. 8. Marcetto M. 3. Laborde E. 17. Poljak A. 11. Melgard K. 23. Nautnes E.
Substitutes
10. Alvarez A. 13. Belotto S. (G) 26. Berasategui V. 4. Caravaca J. 22. Diaz Leal M. 8. Estefa 11. Kuki 9. Pinel R. 17. Toro J. 28. Zapata P.	7. Andonova N. 30. de Gracia B. (G) 28. Hernandez S. 9. Lopez B. 5. Monica 21. Rivas M. 26. Serrano N.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Aguado J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Poljak A. ⚽, Mendoza N. (A),
45+9', 0 - 2, Sosa A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gestera M. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
46', Zumarraga A. ↓, Zapata P. ↑,
47', 0 - 3, Marcetto M. ⚽, Melgard K. (A),
49', Laborde E. 🟨,
58', Marcetto M. ↓, Andonova N. ↑,
58', Laborde E. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
63', Santamaria Coleto A. ↓, Pinel R. ↑,
63', Yannel ↓, Diaz Leal M. ↑,
70', Antonsdottir H. ↓, Monica ↑,
70', Poljak A. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
70', Andonova N. 🟨,
78', Encarni ↓, Estefa ↑,
85', Ruiz A. ↓, Hernandez S. ↑,
86', 0 - 4, Nautnes E. ⚽, Sosa A. (A),
90+2', Alvarez A. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 4, Diaz Leal M. ⚽, Alvarez A. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).

Alhama has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Madrid CFF has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alhama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Madrid CFF is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alhama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 1:4.5).

Including home match between the teams, Alhama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alhama CF
Spanish Liga F Women
08.11.25	Real Madrid - Alhama	5:0 ✺
01.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Alhama	4:0 ✺
18.10.25	Alhama - Athletic Bilbao	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Espanyol - Alhama	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Alhama - Deportivo A Coruña	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTLW
- Madrid CFF
Spanish Liga F Women
09.11.25	Madrid CFF - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
06.11.25	Sporting de Huelva - Madrid CFF	1:7 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
01.11.25	Madrid CFF - Granada	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Sevilla - Madrid CFF	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	Badalona - Madrid CFF	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
06.05.23	Madrid CFF - Alhama	6:2
01.11.22	Alhama - Madrid CFF	0:3

Alhama - Madrid CFF: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide