Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Cuesta B. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eibar		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9.8	4.95	1.24
	9.69	5.2	1.31
	9.51	5.41	1.28	Watch
	10	4.6	1.25
	10.7	4.8	1.25
	9	4.75	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.78 ↑ (9)	4.95 ↑ (4.44)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
9.4%

Draw
18.5%

Atlético Madrid
72.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.1%

20.4%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.7%

19.7%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Atlético Madrid aligns with the current prediction.

Eibar - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Astralaga E. (G) 3. Facila G. 12. Belem A. 20. Masegur M. 4. Andres C. 11. Camino 8. Iribarren 23. Moreno E. 18. Rico Torres A. 19. Martin S. 16. Alvarez C.	13. Larque P. (G) 5. Perez X. 15. Lloris S. 11. Menayo C. (C) 14. Otermin R. 17. Bartel J. 6. Boe Risa V. 8. Garcia G. 22. Luany 28. Gomez C. 7. Jensen S.
Substitutes
7. Altonaga A. 22. Clement Tukumbuke O. 6. Etxezarreta A. 14. Lacosta I. 28. Lopez M. 13. Marti L. (G) 5. Ojeda P. 17. Peckova A. 21. Uranga 10. Valej E.	23. Alexia 46. Gutierrez D. 21. Iannuzzi F. 4. Lauren Leal 1. Lola (G) 3. Medina A. 19. Portales Nieto M. 10. Vitoria A.
Coaches
Goikoetxea I.	Alba V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Jensen S. ⚽, Boe Risa V. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Andres C. ⚽, Camino (A),
20', 2 - 1, Moreno E. ⚽, Alvarez C. (A),
28', Lloris S. 🟨,
38', Garcia G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Garcia G. ↓, Iannuzzi F. ↑,
46', Menayo C. ↓, Lauren Leal ↑,
46', Otermin R. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
46', Perez X. ↓, Alexia ↑,
59', 2 - 2, Boe Risa V. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Luany 🟨,
73', Iribarren ↓, Altonaga A. ↑,
74', Camino 🟨,
83', Jensen S. ↓, Vitoria A. ↑,
88', Alvarez C. ↓, Clement Tukumbuke O. ↑,
88', Moreno E. ↓, Lacosta I. ↑,
90+2', Clement Tukumbuke O. 🟨,
90+6', Martin S. ↓, Ojeda P. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Eibar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético Madrid is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:16. (average 0.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar Women
Spanish Liga F Women
07.12.25	Logroño United - Eibar	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Real Madrid - Eibar	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Eibar - Espanyol	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Athletic Bilbao - Eibar	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Eibar - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLW
- Atlético Madrid Féminas
UEFA Champions League Women
10.12.25	Atlético Madrid - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
06.12.25	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Tenerife - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
20.11.25	Twente - Atlético Madrid	0:4 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
16.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Badalona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
11.05.25	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	0:2
24.11.24	Atlético Madrid - Eibar	1:1
24.03.24	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	1:1
11.11.23	Atlético Madrid - Eibar	3:0
08.05.22	Atlético Madrid - Eibar	3:1
21.11.21	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	0:3
31.01.21	Atlético Madrid - Eibar	2:1

Eibar - Atlético Madrid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide