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Current Win Probability
Alhama 37.7%
Draw 29.7%
Logroño United 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
27.2%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
25.9%
25.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alhama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alhama's form might have worsened.
Logroño United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Logroño United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhama than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alhama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Logroño United than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Logroño United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alhama - Logroño United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Belotto S. (G) 2. Zumarraga A. 3. Martinez N. 14. Velazquez Jurico A. 15. Mathurin R. 4. Caravaca J. (C) 7. Relea Y. 19. Martinez B. 18. Encarni 9. Pinel R. 16. Gestera M.
13. Miralles M. (G) 6. Martinez L. 23. Rebeca 8. Masferrer Cruz M. 12. Martin M. I. 10. Isina (C) 18. Garcia S. 14. Falfan D. 17. Mawete F. 11. Leitner A. 7. Asenjo M. G.
Substitutes
10. Alvarez A. 26. Berasategui V. 27. Castineyras C. 1. de Toro Aldaria E. (G) 22. Diaz Leal M. 8. Estefa 11. Kuki 21. Perez M. 20. Santamaria Coleto A. 17. Toro J. 5. Yannel 28. Zapata P.
1. Ashurst C. (G) 4. Castro I. 16. Gimenez M. 22. Morcillo J. 5. Ongaro C. 25. Prat S. 9. Scannapieco D. 20. Valderas L. 15. Velazco X.
Coaches
Garcia J.
Blanco H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Isina (Penalty Awarded),
27', Mawete F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Gestera M. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
46', Mathurin R. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
52', Falfan D. ↓, Ongaro C. ↑,
52', Asenjo M. G. ↓, Prat S. ↑,
54', Velazquez Jurico A. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Prat S. ⚽, Mawete F. (A),
63', Leitner A. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
63', Garcia S. ↓, Castro I. ↑,
64', Ongaro C. 🟨,
66', Velazquez Jurico A. ↓, Estefa ↑,
66', Pinel R. ↓, Zapata P. ↑,
70', Caravaca J. ↓, Castineyras C. ↑,
75', 0 - 3, Castro I. ⚽, Isina (A),
82', Mawete F. ↓, Velazco X. ↑,
88', Encarni 🟨,
89', 0 - 4, Velazco X. ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera Federacion Women).
Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alhama won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Alhama won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).