The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Sociedad 20.1%
Draw 23.6%
Real Madrid 56.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.3%
26.5%
46.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
24.8%
49.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Sociedad's form might have worsened.
Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Madrid's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Sociedad - Real Madrid Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Arrula J. (G) 6. Laborde E. 4. Aparicio N. 2. Florentino C. 3. Vicente A. 5. Fernandez P. 7. Camino 22. Cahynova K. 20. Campo A. 11. Marcos C. 10. Eizaguirre N. (C)
1. Frohms M. (G) 19. Navarro E. 14. Mendez M. 22. Andersson B. 3. Levels J. 31. San Martin O. 17. Jacinto A. 24. Caruso A. 7. Keukelaar L. 11. Beerensteyn L. 10. del Castillo A. (C)
Substitutes
14. Eguiguren I. 27. Isasisasmendi A. 9. Keefe S. 17. Maren 8. Marin Martin A. 30. Mendiburu M. (G) 18. Seelenfreund A. 28. Soroa I.
30. Agueda C. (G) 9. Bruun S. 18. Caicedo L. 29. Campos N. 8. Dabritz S. 26. De La Cuerda C. 23. Lakrar M. 47. Rodriguez C. 35. Rubio P. 12. Schroder F. 20. Senss E.
Coaches
Alvarez G.
Quesada P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Beerensteyn L. ⚽, San Martin O. (A),
5', 1 - 1, Marcos C. ⚽, Eizaguirre N. (A),
28', Navarro E. 🟨,
35', Levels J. ↓, Lakrar M. ↑,
39', Laborde E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 4)
46', Keukelaar L. ↓, Caicedo L. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Marcos C. ⚽, Laborde E. (A),
60', Laborde E. ↓, Marin Martin A. ↑,
60', Beerensteyn L. ↓, Schroder F. ↑,
61', San Martin O. ↓, Dabritz S. ↑,
61', Mendez M. ↓, Senss E. ↑,
63', Caicedo L. 🟨,
66', Camino 🟨,
67', 2 - 2, Dabritz S. ⚽,
70', 2 - 3, Dabritz S. ⚽, Schroder F. (A),
74', Eizaguirre N. ↓, Eguiguren I. ↑,
74', Campo A. ↓, Seelenfreund A. ↑,
79', Andersson B. 🟨,
80', Quesada P. 🟨,
85', 3 - 3, Fernandez P. (Penalty Awarded),
87', 3 - 4, Schroder F. ⚽, Navarro E. (A),
90', Fernandez P. 🟨,
90', Vicente A. ↓, Isasisasmendi A. ↑,
90', Cahynova K. ↓, Maren ↑,
90+6', 3 - 5, Schroder F. ⚽, Dabritz S. (A),
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 2nd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Real Sociedad (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Real Madrid shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Real Madrid could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Real Madrid has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Real Madrid is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Sociedad has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:41 (averaging 1:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Real Sociedad against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 7:17 goals (averaging 1:2.4 per game).
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Arrula J. (G) 
Cahynova K. 
Frohms M. (G) 
Andersson B. 
Levels J. 
Jacinto A. 
Caruso A. 
Keefe S. 
Mendiburu M. (G) 
Seelenfreund A. 
Bruun S. 
Caicedo L. 
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