Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Alhaurino		Torreperogil

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4.35
	1.76	3.32	4.59
	1.78	3.27	4.68	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.4
	1.77	3.3	4.29
	1.73	3.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.79)	3.26 ↓ (3.29)	4.47 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alhaurino
51.6%

Draw
27.9%

Torreperogil
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27.5%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

23.3%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alhaurino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Torreperogil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alhaurino than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alhaurino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreperogil than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torreperogil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alhaurino - Torreperogil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Alhaurino has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Torreperogil has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Alhaurino is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alhaurino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Alhaurino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alhaurino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
07.12.25	Atlético Porcuna - Alhaurino	3:4 ✺
23.11.25	Alhaurino - Torre Del Mar	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	El Palo - Alhaurino	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Alhaurino - UD San Pedro	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Motril - Alhaurino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLLL
- CD Torreperogil
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
07.12.25	Torreperogil - Torredonjimeno	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Granada B - Torreperogil	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Torreperogil - Huétor Vega	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Huétor Tájar - Torreperogil	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Torreperogil - Melilla B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
06.01.22	Torreperogil - Alhaurino	2:0
12.09.21	Alhaurino - Torreperogil	4:1
14.04.19	Torreperogil - Alhaurino	0:0
02.12.18	Alhaurino - Torreperogil	6:0

Alhaurino - Torreperogil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide