Match Info

Copa Libertadores Women

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Florencio Sola (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play
Brazil	Canal GOAT
World	Pluto TV


	Alianza Lima		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	6.4	4.71	1.53
	5.17	3.91	1.58	Watch
	5.52	4.31	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.7 ↑ (5.13)	4.31 ↓ (5.01)	1.55 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Lima
16.7%

Draw
22%

Ferroviária
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

18.3%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

17.7%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Alianza Lima - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, Julia Beatriz ⚽, Sissi (A),
77', 1 - 1, Molina T. ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, Mylena Carioca ⚽, Raquel (A),

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Alianza Lima has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ferroviária is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Lima Women
Copa Libertadores Women
02.10.25	Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga Women
21.09.25	UNSAAC - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Alianza Lima - Universidad César Vallejo	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWWW
- Ferroviária Women
Copa Libertadores Women
02.10.25	ADIFFEM - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
28.09.25	Santos - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
25.09.25	Internacional - Ferroviária	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
22.09.25	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	1:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
18.09.25	Ferroviária - Vitória Salvador	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW

Alianza Lima - Ferroviária: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide