The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 48.6%
Draw 27.2%
Unión Minas 24.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
27.9%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
28.5%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Universidad de Huánuco's performance.
Unión Minas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Minas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Universidad de Huánuco that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Minas than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Minas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Unión Minas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Mosquera C. (G)
35. Cavero S.
18. Cuero J.
32. Flores A.
90. Gonzales J.
6. Palomino R.
47. Ramirez S.
14. Rengifo S.
10. Sernaque J.
24. Succar A.
16. Valverde M.
Substitutes
99. Alvirena
15. Angulo T.
7. Casquete A.
12. Diaz W. (G)
19. Dominguez J.
29. Labrin V.
67. Paico K.
5. Peral P.
9. Zeta H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Quina M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Valverde M. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Agurto A. 🟨,
61', Sernaque J. ↓, Casquete A. ↑,
63', Mena Y. ↓, Alania D. ↑,
63', Quina M. ↓, Velasco S. ↑,
70', Agurto A. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Pereira G. ⚽,
74', 🟨,
82', Valverde M. ↓, Peral P. ↑,
82', Gonzales J. ↓, Angulo T. ↑,
83', Cavero S. 🟨,
84', Lopez S. 🟨,
89', Chavez D. ↓, Zamalloa F. ↑,
89', Lopez S. ↓, Ardiles R. ↑,
90+3', Velasco S. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).
Alianza Universidad has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Minas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Minas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Alianza Universidad might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Peru
Watch
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Mosquera C. (G) 
Cavero S. 
Ramirez S. 
Alvirena 
Casquete A. 
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