Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 11

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Max Augustin (Iquitos)


	Comerciantes Belén		Alianza Universidad de Huánuco

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.10	3.80
	1.88	3.1	3.9
	1.9	3.01	3.95
	1.95	3.28	3.95
	1.89	3	3.7
	1.85	3.13	4.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.77)	3.1 ↓ (3.5)	3.91 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Belén
47.8%

Draw
29.1%

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.8%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Comerciantes Belén - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Comerciantes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva L. (G) 28. Acosta A. 6. Arevalo F. 15. Guerrero Fonseca R. M. 10. Lemos M. 29. Perlaza V. 5. Pinedo D. 19. Ramua A. 3. Rios R. 33. Valdeblanquez J. 22. Vargas P.	23. Mosquera C. (G) 7. Casquete A. 33. Cavero G. 18. Cuero J. 27. Cuneo O. 19. Dominguez J. 21. Ledesma A. 30. Ortega F. 67. Paico K. 47. Ramirez S. 10. Sernaque J.
Substitutes
7. Bazan J. 25. Gonzales Cainamari F. J. 43. Perez R. (G) 27. Reategui P. 21. Rivas A. 24. Rojas Ihuaraqui P. N. 17. Vela P. 11. Villanueva C. 9. Zambrano J.	15. Angulo T. 12. Diaz W. (G) 32. Flores A. 29. Labrin V. 8. Leguia F. 4. Mogollon E. 5. Peral P. 16. Valverde M. 9. Zeta H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Alianza Universidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Alianza Universidad has had a series of home games.

In this match, Comerciantes is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Comerciantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2
18.07.26	Sport Huancayo 2 - Comerciantes Belén	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
10.07.26	Sport Boys - Comerciantes Belén	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Comerciantes Belén - Estudiantil CNI	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Comerciantes Belén - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLTWT
- Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 2
18.07.26	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Ayacucho	3:2 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
26.06.26	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Unión Minas	3:1 ✺
19.06.26	ADT Tarma - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:1 ✺
14.06.26	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Huancayo	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
31.05.26	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
04.04.26	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Comerciantes Belén	1:2
21.09.23	Comerciantes Belén - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:1
26.06.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Comerciantes Belén	1:0

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