Match Info

Date: 23 September 2022, Friday


	Allerheiligen		Treibach

	1	X	2
	1.71	4	3.5
	1.57	4.3	4.2
	1.71	4	3.15
	1.62	4.2	3.6
	1.73	4.2	3.62	Watch
	1.72	4.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.37)	4.15 ↑ (3.24)	3.61 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Allerheiligen
53.5%

Draw
21.6%

Treibach
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27.7%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Allerheiligen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Allerheiligen's performance.

Treibach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Treibach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Allerheiligen than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Allerheiligen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treibach than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Treibach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68%	8%	24%

Allerheiligen - Treibach Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Allerheiligen will win (votes: 17 - 68%). Treibach will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Allerheiligen: 49.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Allerheiligen is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Treibach has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Allerheiligen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Allerheiligen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Allerheiligen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Allerheiligen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Allerheiligen
Austrian Regionalliga Central
20.09.22	Kalsdorf - Allerheiligen	2:1 ✺
09.09.22	Union Gurten - Allerheiligen	2:1 ✺
04.09.22	Allerheiligen - Leoben	4:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
01.09.22	Allerheiligen - Rapid Wien	0:2 ✺
Austrian Regionalliga Central
26.08.22	Bad Gleichenberg - Allerheiligen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LLWLL
- SK Treibach
Austrian Regionalliga Central
16.09.22	Treibach - Union Gurten	2:3 ✺
10.09.22	Leoben - Treibach	6:0 ✺
02.09.22	Treibach - Bad Gleichenberg	1:4 ✺
26.08.22	SPG Wels - Treibach	4:0 ✺
19.08.22	Treibach - Gleisdorf	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
18.04.22	Allerheiligen - Treibach	3:0
14.09.21	Treibach - Allerheiligen	3:2

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