Match Info

AUSTRIA: Regionalliga Central - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	SPG Wels		Treibach

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.5	9
	1.22	5.6	9.8
	1.27	5.33	8.17
	1.26	5.38	9.23
	1.23	5.4	9.9
	1.22	5.6	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.34)	5.47 ↑ (4.79)	9.32 ↑ (6.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPG Wels
73.6%

Draw
16.7%

Treibach
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

19%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

18.5%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SPG Wels's performance.

Treibach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treibach than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

SPG Wels - Treibach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Bosnjak A. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Cirkic B. ⚽,
35', 3 - 0, Akrap V. ⚽,
41', 4 - 0, Mislov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 5 - 0, Bosnjak A. ⚽,
70', 6 - 0, Bosnjak A. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 and 10).

SPG Wels is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Treibach is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SPG Wels could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match SPG Wels is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches SPG Wels won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 2.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams SPG Wels won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPG Wels
Austrian Regionalliga Central
31.10.24	Wallern-Marienkirchen - SPG Wels	1:1 ✺
25.10.24	Union Vöcklamarkt - SPG Wels	1:3 ✺
18.10.24	SPG Wels - Ried II	4:1 ✺
12.10.24	Vorwärts Steyr - SPG Wels	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	SPG Wels - Gleisdorf	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWLW
- SK Treibach
Austrian Regionalliga Central
02.11.24	Treibach - Union Vöcklamarkt	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Ried II - Treibach	3:0 ✺
18.10.24	Treibach - Vorwärts Steyr	1:0 ✺
11.10.24	Gleisdorf - Treibach	3:1 ✺
04.10.24	Treibach - LASK II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
06.04.23	Treibach - SPG Wels	1:2
26.08.22	SPG Wels - Treibach	4:0
05.04.22	Treibach - SPG Wels	1:2
06.08.21	SPG Wels - Treibach	2:1

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