Match Info

Date: 4 July 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Alliance		Pärnu Linnameeskond

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	4.75
	1.55	4	5.25
	1.55	3.9	4.8
	1.62	4.13	4.9
	1.52	3.5	5.25
	1.56	3.94	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.73)	3.9 ↓ (3.91)	5.03 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alliance
58.5%

Draw
23.4%

Pärnu Linnameeskond
18.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.7%

23.3%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

23.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alliance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alliance's performance.

Pärnu Linnameeskond has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pärnu Linnameeskond might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alliance than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alliance that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pärnu Linnameeskond could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Alliance - Pärnu Linnameeskond Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Alliance will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Pärnu will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alliance: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Alliance is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pärnu is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pärnu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alliance is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Alliance won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Alliance won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ida-Virumaa FC Alliance
Estonian Esiliiga
30.06.22	Viljandi Tulevik - Alliance	0:5 ✺
25.06.22	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Alliance	1:2 ✺
18.06.22	Alliance - Flora U21	0:3 ✺
28.05.22	Nõmme United - Alliance	2:2 ✺
22.05.22	Alliance - Levadia Tallinn U21	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WWLTL
- Pärnu Linnameeskond
Estonian Esiliiga
30.06.22	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Harju JK Laagri	0:0 ✺
19.06.22	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Paide U21	1:6 ✺
30.05.22	Flora U21 - Pärnu Linnameeskond	3:0 ✺
22.05.22	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Viimsi JK	2:3 ✺
19.05.22	Nõmme United - Pärnu Linnameeskond	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
15.05.22	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Alliance	0:1
19.03.22	Alliance - Pärnu Linnameeskond	1:0
04.12.21	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Alliance	0:0
27.11.21	Alliance - Pärnu Linnameeskond	4:1

Alliance - Pärnu Linnameeskond