Match Info

Date: 6 August 2022, Saturday


	Nõmme United		Pärnu Linnameeskond

	1	X	2
	1.1	8.25	16.5
	1.1	8.5	18
	1.1	7.4	15
	1.15	8.24	17
	1.18	7.08	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.5)	7.89 ↑ (4.44)	15.7 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme United
82.3%

Draw
11.7%

Pärnu Linnameeskond
5.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.1%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

20.8%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nõmme United's performance.

Pärnu Linnameeskond has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pärnu Linnameeskond might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nõmme United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pärnu Linnameeskond could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Nõmme United - Pärnu Linnameeskond Predictions

Users Predictions: Nõmme United will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nõmme United won 4.

Recent matches Nõmme United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pärnu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pärnu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nõmme United is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Nõmme United won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Nõmme United won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme United
Estonian Esiliiga
30.07.22	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Nõmme United	2:4 ✺
18.07.22	Nõmme United - Viljandi Tulevik	4:0 ✺
Estonian Cup
09.07.22	Nõmme United - Läänemaa Haapsalu	3:0 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
04.07.22	Elva - Nõmme United	3:1 ✺
18.06.22	Nõmme United - Levadia Tallinn U21	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWWLL
- Pärnu Linnameeskond
Estonian Esiliiga
29.07.22	Viljandi Tulevik - Pärnu Linnameeskond	0:0 ✺
16.07.22	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Elva	0:1 ✺
04.07.22	Alliance - Pärnu Linnameeskond	2:1 ✺
30.06.22	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Harju JK Laagri	0:0 ✺
19.06.22	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Paide U21	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
19.05.22	Nõmme United - Pärnu Linnameeskond	1:1
13.03.22	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Nõmme United	0:1
26.09.21	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Nõmme United	0:2
30.06.21	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Nõmme United	0:1
06.05.21	Nõmme United - Pärnu Linnameeskond	5:0
17.10.20	Nõmme United - Pärnu Linnameeskond	1:1
16.07.20	Nõmme United - Pärnu Linnameeskond	4:0

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