Match Info

ESTONIA: ESILIIGA - ROUND 33

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Alliance		Tallinna JK Legion

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.75	2.65
	2.1	4	2.7	Watch
	2.17	4.02	2.77
	2.11	4	2.65
	2.1	4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.64)	3.95 ↑ (3.52)	2.69 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alliance
43.1%

Draw
23.1%

Tallinna JK Legion
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

25.8%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

25.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alliance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alliance's performance.

Tallinna JK Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tallinna JK Legion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alliance than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alliance that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna JK Legion than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tallinna JK Legion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alliance - Tallinna JK Legion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shamanskyi A. (G) 25. Kardava R. 15. Jakovlev M. 5. Mitsuk G. (C) 4. Boronilstsikov A. 30. Saar R. 10. Orlov M. 9. Pavlov K. 99. Velikanov V. 8. Butenko A. 11. Ivanov I.	35. Zukov M. (G) 59. Borissov A. 39. Istsenko V. 34. Havier M. 11. Belenikin K. 33. Samborskyi D. 13. Terletski A. 66. Pochekutov V. 2. Eensalu M. 25. Arhipov L. (C) 14. Balta A.
Substitutes
69. Kanev N. (G) 14. Koskor K. 12. Zotov E.	17. Panov V. 51. Sorokin I. 30. Volodin A.

Preview

Alliance is Relegated to

Legion is Relegated to

Recent matches Alliance is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Legion has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alliance won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Alliance won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ida-Virumaa FC Alliance
Estonian Esiliiga
22.10.23	Nõmme United - Alliance	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	Alliance - Viimsi JK	1:3 ✺
01.10.23	Paide U21 - Alliance	1:3 ✺
28.09.23	Alliance - FC Tallinn	1:5 ✺
23.09.23	Alliance - Tabasalu	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 LLWLW
- Tallinna JK Legion
Estonian Esiliiga
23.10.23	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	4:0 ✺
07.10.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Paide U21	2:4 ✺
02.10.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Nõmme United	0:5 ✺
28.09.23	Flora U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Viimsi JK - Tallinna JK Legion	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
16.09.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Alliance	1:1
10.06.23	Alliance - Tallinna JK Legion	1:0
28.04.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Alliance	1:0

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