Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 23

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Sportland Arena (Tallinn)


	Tallinna JK Legion		Paide U21

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.9	2.6
	2.08	4.15	2.62
	2.06	4.38	2.54
	2.09	4.3	2.58
	1.85	4.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.85)	4.25 ↓ (4.5)	2.66 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna JK Legion
44.7%

Draw
21.3%

Paide U21
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

20.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

20.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna JK Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Paide U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna JK Legion than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide U21 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Tallinna JK Legion - Paide U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Martsukov I. (G) 7. Blinov A. 9. Balta A. 10. Jakovenko A. 13. Pochekutov V. 37. Kolodchuk M. 14. Visman L. 35. Panov V. 38. Vassilenko S. 44. Borissov A. (C) 19. Zutsenja E.	70. Isakar R. (G) 26. Luts R. 32. Kiik K. 88. Kool R. 37. Kanne K. (C) 57. Vassilenko K. 25. Gueye M. 22. Soo S. 71. Kallas K. 11. Reinkort S. 49. Lehtmaa H.
Substitutes
5. Maearu S. 20. Malosev M. 17. Nosach C. 3. Shirochin A. 23. Suhotski A. (G) 39. Vasilenko D. 30. Volodin A. 2. Zestjakov E.	33. Kaarmann K. (G) 39. Murulaid R. 66. Rak C. 8. Randalainen R. 46. Reivik K. 72. Roos R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Jakovenko A. ⚽,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 🟨,
62', 2 - 0, Jakovenko A. ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, Lehtmaa H. ⚽,
70', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
80', 2 - 2, Murulaid R. ⚽,
81', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legion won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Legion may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Legion has had a series of away games.

Recently, Paide U21 has had a series of home games.

Legion could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Legion won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 2:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Legion won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna JK Legion
Estonian Esiliiga B
02.08.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Tartu Kalev	0:1 ✺
Estonian Cup
30.07.25	Elva - Tallinna JK Legion	3:0 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga B
26.07.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tallinna JK Legion	0:4 ✺
11.07.25	Tabasalu - Tallinna JK Legion	1:4 ✺
05.07.25	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna JK Legion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LLWWW
- Paide U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
04.08.25	Paide U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu	6:1 ✺
19.07.25	Tartu Kalev - Paide U21	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Paide U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:3 ✺
07.07.25	Paide U21 - Kuressaare U21	4:0 ✺
02.07.25	Paide U21 - Tabasalu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
19.06.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Paide U21	2:2
08.03.25	Paide U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	2:4
Estonian Esiliiga
07.10.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Paide U21	2:4
22.07.23	Paide U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	3:2
06.05.23	Paide U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	2:0
26.03.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Paide U21	2:2

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