Match Info

League One - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Recreation Park (Alloa)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	WASP TV


	Alloa Athletic		East Kilbride

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.15
	2.50	3.30	2.37
	2.85	3.4	2.2
	2.99	3.5	2.26
	2.71	3.55	2.39	Watch
	2.95	3.45	2.15
	3.04	3.55	2.18	Watch
	2.85	3.4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.59)	3.46 ↑ (3.42)	2.24 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alloa Athletic
32.2%

Draw
26.6%

East Kilbride
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

26.7%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

26.6%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

East Kilbride has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Alloa Athletic - East Kilbride Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stewart R. (G) 24. Foster O. 2. Taggart S. (C) 4. Hetherington S. 20. O'Donnell C. 23. Devine D. 29. Ross L. 12. Scougall S. 18. Forbes B. 10. Rankin L. 7. Glasgow K.	1. Kelly S. (G) 5. Fagan S. 24. O'Connor D. 2. Steele A. 16. East E. 26. Armstrong R. 36. Culbert S. 22. Smith A. 33. Moffat O. 11. McGuffie C. 9. Elliott C. (C)
Substitutes
28. Aitken M. 17. Cameron M. 27. Crilly A. 16. Ellison J. 31. Green L. (G) 6. Marchant G. 5. McGrath J. 8. Roberts K. 15. Walker J.	8. Balde J. 19. Calder O. 17. Dargie R. 18. Gray F. 15. Maguire B. 21. McKendrick L. 14. McKenzie C. 12. Ross E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Armstrong R. 🟨,
29', Devine D. ↓, McGrath J. ↑,
34', 0 - 1, McGuffie C. ⚽,
35', East E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Armstrong R. ↓, Balde J. ↑,
56', Rankin L. ↓, Aitken M. ↑,
56', Forbes B. ↓, Crilly A. ↑,
57', Balde J. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Glasgow K. ⚽, Scougall S. (A),
61', Fagan S. 🟨,
63', Smith A. ↓, Gray F. ↑,
72', Moffat O. ↓, McKenzie C. ↑,
79', Gray F. ↓, Calder O. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, McKenzie C. ⚽, Elliott C. (A),
90', O'Donnell C. 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 5th and 4th in the Promotion ~ League One (Promotion ~ Playoffs).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

East Kilbride: 3.13% Alloa: 0.37%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	East Kilbride	9	5	1	3	17:12	5	16
6	Alloa	9	2	3	4	9:10	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One
12.09.26	Airdrieonians - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	Clydebank - Alloa Athletic	1:1 ✺
Scottish League One
05.09.26	Cove Rangers - Alloa Athletic	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Alloa Athletic - Peterhead	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.08.26	Alloa Athletic - Motherwell 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTTTW
- East Kilbride FC
Scottish League One
12.09.26	East Kilbride - Peterhead	3:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	East Kilbride - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:1 ✺
Scottish League One
05.09.26	East Kilbride - Hamilton Academical	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ross County - East Kilbride	4:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.08.26	Cowdenbeath - East Kilbride	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLLW

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