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Current Win Probability
East Kilbride 31.4%
Draw 25.4%
Hamilton Academical 43.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
24.4%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
23.6%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
East Kilbride has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that East Kilbride's form might have worsened.
Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamilton Academical's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (+17.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for East Kilbride, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamilton Academical, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
East Kilbride - Hamilton Academical Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Hamilton will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Hamilton (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamilton (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kelly S. (G) 5. Fagan S. 24. O'Connor D. 2. Steele A. 16. East E. 8. Balde J. 26. Armstrong R. 22. Smith A. 11. McGuffie C. 9. Elliott C. (C) 7. McGrattan L.
1. Lyness D. (G) 2. Comrie A. 16. Smutek K. 3. Gallacher T. 33. Hendrie S. (C) 8. MacDonald K. 17. Bannigan S. 6. Blues C. 7. Thomas D. 29. Ryan A. 27. McKinstry S.
Substitutes
19. Calder O. 17. Dargie R. 10. Fallon J. 21. Gill M. (G) 6. Kennedy L. 23. Lasley M. 3. Malloy E. 14. McKenzie C. 12. Ross E.
10. Bradley S. 21. Crookston G. 24. Eadie A. 12. Lane J. (G) 18. Morgan L. 11. Orsi K. 5. Owens F. 22. Shiels D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Ryan A. ⚽, Hendrie S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', McKinstry S. 🟨,
59', McGuffie C. ↓, McKenzie C. ↑,
63', Fagan S. 🟨,
68', McGrattan L. 🟨,
73', McKenzie C. 🟨,
74', Thomas D. ↓, Orsi K. ↑,
75', Bannigan S. 🟨,
82', Bannigan S. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
82', McKinstry S. ↓, Crookston G. ↑,
89', Armstrong R. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Hamilton has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, East Kilbride won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 1.3:4).
Including home matches between the teams, East Kilbride won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1.7:4).
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Kelly S. (G) 
O'Connor D. 
Balde J. 
Lyness D. (G) 
Smutek K. 
Fallon J. 
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