The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alloa Athletic 44.4%
Draw 27.1%
Queen of the South 28.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.2%
26.3%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
25.8%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alloa Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alloa Athletic's performance.
Queen of the South has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Queen of the South might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alloa Athletic that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Queen of the South could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Alloa Athletic - Queen of the South Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Alloa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Queen of the South will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. McFarlane L. (G) 15. McKay D. 6. Dewar C. 2. Taggart S. (C) 3. Waters C. 28. Adamson C. 20. O'Donnell C. 12. Scougall S. 29. Burnside C. 17. Gallagher C. 11. Orsi K.
34. Sneddon J. (G) 2. Hewitt M. 14. Johnstone B. 15. Rogerson N. 16. MacKenzie Z. 4. Lyon R. (C) 8. Luissint B. 11. Dickenson B. 7. Smith L. 21. Ross E. 9. Allan J.
Substitutes
19. Buchanan S. 7. Clarke A. 24. Foster O. 5. Graham A. 4. Hetherington S. 1. Ogayi T. (G) 10. Rankin L. 18. Sammon C. 27. Stewart L.
88. Clark N. 5. Douglas M. 26. Green L. (G) 10. Kennedy K. 20. Mason S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
26', Rogerson N. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Dickenson B. ⚽,
40', Adamson C. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Orsi K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Dickenson B. ↓, Douglas M. ↑,
51', Gallagher C. ↓, Rankin L. ↑,
61', Ross E. ↓, Clark N. ↑,
61', Johnstone B. ↓, Kennedy K. ↑,
67', Scougall S. ↓, Graham A. ↑,
68', Waters C. ↓, Sammon C. ↑,
68', Adamson C. ↓, Clarke A. ↑,
70', Allan J. ↓, Mason S. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Clark N. ⚽, Kennedy K. (A),
73', Burnside C. ↓, Buchanan S. ↑,
85', 1 - 3, Clark N. ⚽, Kennedy K. (A),
87', 1 - 4, Smith L. ⚽, Mason S. (A),
Preview
Alloa is Qualified for Championship (Promotion )
Queen of the South is Qualified for Championship (Promotion )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alloa won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alloa won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:31. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Alloa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
Outrights of Scottish League One for now
Alloa: 0.37%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Alloa
9
2
3
4
9:10
-1
9
9
Queen of South
9
2
1
6
10:27
-17
7
Last Results with these Odds
Alloa Athletic - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.18%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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McFarlane L. (G) 
Dewar C. 
Burnside C. 
Luissint B. 
Ogayi T. (G) 
Sammon C. 
Green L. (G) 
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