Match Info

League One - Round 12

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Recreation Park (Alloa) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	15:00	SPFL Player, WASP TV


	Alloa Athletic		Queen of the South

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.50	3.40
	1.93	3.40	3.25
	1.76	3.55	3.75
	1.93	3.62	3.56
	1.75	3.96	4.1	Watch
	1.84	3.60	3.70
	1.94	3.34	3.43	Watch
	1.99	3.50	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.81)	3.56 ↓ (3.79)	3.56 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alloa Athletic
48.7%

Draw
25.7%

Queen of the South
25.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.2%

24.5%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

24.8%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Queen of the South has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Alloa Athletic - Queen of the South Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stewart R. (G) 24. Foster O. 5. McGrath J. 2. Taggart S. (C) 3. Waters C. 6. Marchant G. 12. Scougall S. 16. Ellison J. 7. Glasgow K. 28. Aitken M. 17. Cameron M.	1. Mehmet D. (G) 2. Goldie C. 12. Want S. (C) 15. Rogerson N. 20. Hutton A. 4. Stott J. 8. MacKenzie Z. 7. Smith L. 10. Clark N. 19. Luissint B. 9. Young C.
Substitutes
27. Donnelly K. 9. Donnelly L. 18. Forbes B. 31. Green L. (G) 29. Hannah C. 14. McCafferty F. 10. Rankin L. 26. Tanner W. 15. Walker J.	16. Coughlin C. 11. Dair B. 18. Davis A. 17. Ellis R. 25. Gray B. 27. Kelly J. 32. McColm R. 34. Petry S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Young C. ⚽, Clark N. (A),
30', Want S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Smith L. 🟨,
64', Aitken M. 🟨,
68', Ellison J. ↓, Rankin L. ↑,
83', 🟨,
83', Goldie C. 🟨,
83', Cameron M. ↓, Donnelly L. ↑,
83', Waters C. ↓, Forbes B. ↑,
85', Young C. ↓, Ellis R. ↑,
85', Luissint B. ↓, Coughlin C. ↑,
86', MacKenzie Z. 🟨,
90', Clark N. ↓, Davis A. ↑,
90+3', Smith L. ↓, Gray B. ↑,
90+5', Stewart R. 🟥,
90+5', Coughlin C. 🟨,
90+6', McGrath J. ↓, Green L. ↑,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alloa won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Bookmakers give the edge to Alloa for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Alloa has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:31 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alloa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 13:17 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Queen of South	12	4	1	7	13:34	-21	13
7	Alloa	12	3	3	6	12:14	-2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Alloa Athletic - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.25%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One
17.10.26	East Fife - Alloa Athletic	0:3 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.10.26	Annan Athletic - Alloa Athletic	0:0 ✺
Scottish League One
10.10.26	Alloa Athletic - Hamilton Academical	0:3 ✺
03.10.26	Ross County - Alloa Athletic	4:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Alloa Athletic - Gala Fairydean	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLLT
- Queen of the South
Scottish League One
17.10.26	Queen of the South - Ross County	1:7 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.10.26	Berwick Rangers - Queen of the South	1:0 ✺
Scottish League One
10.10.26	Peterhead - Queen of the South	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Queen of the South - Cove Rangers	4:3 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Queen of the South - Glasgow Rangers B	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
22.08.26	Queen of the South - Alloa Athletic	0:2
02.05.26	Alloa Athletic - Queen of the South	1:4
14.02.26	Queen of the South - Alloa Athletic	1:2
13.12.25	Alloa Athletic - Queen of the South	0:2
04.10.25	Queen of the South - Alloa Athletic	1:0
15.03.25	Queen of the South - Alloa Athletic	3:2
11.01.25	Alloa Athletic - Queen of the South	1:1

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