Match Info

SCOTLAND: League One - Round 26

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Galabank (Annan)


	Annan Athletic		Alloa Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.88
	2.34	3.15	2.7
	2.29	3.37	2.96
	2.39	3.4	2.83	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.8
	2.27	3.42	2.86	Watch
	2.34	3.15	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.22)	3.28 ↑ (3.03)	2.82 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annan Athletic
39.3%

Draw
28%

Alloa Athletic
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

30.4%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29.2%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Alloa Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alloa Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Annan Athletic - Alloa Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 22. Bisland L. 2. Hooper S. 15. Kilsby M. 33. Gibson W. 23. Ross L. 7. McGowan P. 16. Smith P. 4. Dixon J. 5. Muir T. 9. Smith A.	31. Morrison P. (G) 17. Thomson K. 16. Dewar C. 6. Neill M. 3. Waters C. 19. Buchanan S. 20. O'Donnell C. 8. Roberts K. 12. Scougall S. 10. Honeyman S. 25. Gentles J.
Substitutes
17. Brown A. 12. Fleming G. (G) 18. Fleming K. 19. Maxwell C. 14. Muir R. 21. Stevenson J. 8. Todd J. 20. Trialist	7. Cawley K. 5. Graham A. 22. Mullen R. 1. Ogayi T. (G) 24. Rankin L. 18. Sammon C. 14. Virtanen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Gentles J. 🟨,
27', Waters C. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Gibson W. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 4)
46', Waters C. ↓, Graham A. ↑,
46', Honeyman S. ↓, Sammon C. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Thomson K. ⚽,
70', Dixon J. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Brown A. ⚽,
78', 2 - 2, Graham A. ⚽,
79', Bisland L. ↓, Todd J. ↑,
81', Scougall S. ↓, Rankin L. ↑,
82', Smith A. 🟨,
82', 2 - 3, Gentles J. ⚽, Rankin L. (A),
90+1', 3 - 3, Brown A. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 4, Neill M. ⚽, O'Donnell C. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Annan won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Annan won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:13 (average 0.8:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Annan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annan Athletic
Scottish League One
15.02.25	Cove Rangers - Annan Athletic	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Annan Athletic - Dumbarton	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Kelty Hearts - Annan Athletic	1:3 ✺
25.01.25	Annan Athletic - Montrose	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Annan Athletic - Inverness	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWTL
- Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One
15.02.25	Alloa Athletic - Kelty Hearts	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Montrose - Alloa Athletic	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Dumbarton - Alloa Athletic	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Alloa Athletic - Inverness	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Alloa Athletic - Queen of the South	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
02.11.24	Alloa Athletic - Annan Athletic	5:0
24.08.24	Annan Athletic - Alloa Athletic	0:1
30.03.24	Alloa Athletic - Annan Athletic	1:1
13.02.24	Alloa Athletic - Annan Athletic	2:1
03.02.24	Annan Athletic - Alloa Athletic	2:3
23.09.23	Annan Athletic - Alloa Athletic	1:1

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