The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
East Fife 36.5%
Draw 27.7%
Alloa Athletic 35.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.8%
27.7%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
27.5%
33.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
East Fife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Alloa Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
East Fife - Alloa Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Rollo M. (G) 22. McLeod E. 25. Seisay H. 19. Munro A. (C) 3. Newton L. 4. Millar K. 11. Healy J. 17. Beattie C. 23. Ballantyne C. 6. Peggie R. 10. Ross C.
1. Stewart R. (G) 24. Foster O. 5. McGrath J. 2. Taggart S. 20. O'Donnell C. 27. Crilly A. 4. Hetherington S. 12. Scougall S. 7. Glasgow K. 28. Aitken M. 17. Cameron M.
Substitutes
8. Berry R. 1. Bruce L. (G) 18. Dow C. 7. Gaffney M. 12. Joseph O. 20. Loughran K. 15. Milne T. 14. Skeen Hamilton T.
9. Donnelly L. 16. Ellison J. 18. Forbes B. 31. Green L. (G) 6. Marchant G. 14. McCafferty F. 10. Rankin L. 15. Walker J. 3. Waters C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Crilly A. ↓, Marchant G. ↑,
25', O'Donnell C. 🟨,
32', Beattie C. 🟨,
36', McLeod E. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Foster O. ⚽, Cameron M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', Newton L. 🟨,
65', Scougall S. ↓, Waters C. ↑,
67', Newton L. ↓, Dow C. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, O'Donnell C. ⚽, Aitken M. (A),
84', Seisay H. ↓, Milne T. ↑,
84', Beattie C. ↓, Gaffney M. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Glasgow K. ⚽, Foster O. (A),
88', Aitken M. ↓, Rankin L. ↑,
88', Cameron M. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
88', Hetherington S. ↓, Ellison J. ↑,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 7th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, East Fife won 0.
East Fife is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Alloa have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Alloa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, East Fife has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with East Fife holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, East Fife has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:33 (averaging 0.8:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for East Fife against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 6:10 goals (averaging 0.8:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Alloa
12
3
3
6
12:14
-2
12
9
East Fife
12
1
6
5
9:16
-7
9
Last Results with these Odds
Alloa Athletic - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 33.49%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
United Kingdom
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Rollo M. (G) 
Seisay H. 
Joseph O. 
Green L. (G) 
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