The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
East Fife 29.8%
Draw 27.1%
Alloa Athletic 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.9%
27.2%
44.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.2%
27.4%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
East Fife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
East Fife - Alloa Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Adams R. (G) 20. Bah M. 5. Easton B. (C) 19. Munro A. 11. Peggie R. 4. Millar K. 17. Latona L. 23. Culbert S. 22. McKenna M. 18. Healy J. 25. Oladipo D.
31. McFarlane L. (G) 24. Foster O. 6. Dewar C. 2. Taggart S. (C) 20. O'Donnell C. 4. Hetherington S. 27. Stewart L. 28. Adamson C. 8. Roberts K. 29. Burnside C. 9. Donnelly L.
Substitutes
9. Austin N. 14. El-Harek O. 12. Fairley J. . Gaffney M. 16. Halliday D. 2. Halsey J. 1. Hemfrey R. (G) 15. Rowe F. 8. Slattery P.
19. Buchanan S. 7. Clarke A. 17. Gallagher C. 5. Graham 1. Ogayi T. (G) 10. Rankin L. 18. Sammon C. 3. Waters C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Burnside C. ⚽, Stewart L. (A),
23', Oladipo D. 🟨,
30', Foster O. 🟨,
45+2', Adamson C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Hetherington S. 🟨,
51', Dewar C. 🟨,
61', Healy J. 🟨,
66', 0 - 2, Dewar C. ⚽, O'Donnell C. (A),
70', Oladipo D. ↓, Austin N. ↑,
72', Donnelly L. ↓, Sammon C. ↑,
75', Latona L. ↓, Gaffney M. ↑,
83', Culbert S. ↓, Rowe F. ↑,
83', Healy J. ↓, El-Harek O. ↑,
83', Peggie R. ↓, Slattery P. ↑,
83', Adamson C. ↓, Clarke A. ↑,
83', Stewart L. ↓, Buchanan S. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, East Fife won 0.
Recent form of East Fife has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Alloa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
East Fife may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Alloa could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, East Fife won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 0.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, East Fife won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
Outrights of Scottish League One for now
Alloa: 0.37% East Fife: 0.32%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Alloa
9
2
3
4
9:10
-1
9
7
East Fife
9
1
5
3
7:10
-3
8
Last Results with these Odds
Alloa Athletic - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 44.89%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.