The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Almería 57.4%
Draw 23.1%
Leganés 19.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.4%
23.4%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
22.4%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Almería - Leganés Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals) and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3.
Almería has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Leganés has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bookmakers give the edge to Almería for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Almería in today's match, at odds of 1.64.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Almería has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:13 (averaging 1.8:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Almería against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 9:7 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).
Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now
Almeria: 14.77% Leganes: 2.35%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Almeria
8
6
0
2
13:5
8
18
13
Leganes
8
3
2
3
6:11
-5
11
Last Results with these Odds
Almería - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 56.35%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
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