Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 4

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Sanchez R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Spain	Gol Play, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, TV Canaria
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Las Palmas		Leganés

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.10	2.70	Watch
	2.55	3.10	2.65
	2.18	3.20	3.00	Watch
	2.66	3.25	2.92
	2.06	3.35	3.71	Watch
	2.60	3.20	2.85
	2.54	3.14	2.94	Watch
	2.55	3.20	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (1.81)	3.19 ↓ (3.39)	2.95 ↓ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
38.4%

Draw
29.6%

Leganés
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

27.9%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

30%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Las Palmas's form might have worsened.

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leganés's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Palmas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leganés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Las Palmas - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Leganés will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Leganés (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Leganés (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leganés (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Caro J. (G) 25. Pezzolesi V. 4. Alex Suarez 15. Herzog J. 21. Bonfanti G. 11. Miyashiro T. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 6. Gonzalez I. 19. Ramirez S. 7. Betancor J. 14. Fuster M.	13. Zidane L. (G) 11. Garcia N. 5. Miquel I. 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 2. Marvel 10. Buurmeester Z. 20. Atienza M. 8. Kechta Y. 7. Pena R. (C) 17. Gharbi I. 21. Morata A.
Substitutes
16. Acimovic M. 26. Bassinga A. 5. Clemente E. 32. Cruz R. 24. Ivan Jaime 12. Loiodice E. 30. Medina I. 23. Rodriguez A. 29. Romero E. 35. Suarez A. (G) 41. Valverde J. (G)	22. Alex Sancris 18. Campos A. 1. Fernandez R. (G) 29. Hamansenya D. 31. Lozano N. (G) 9. Millan A. 3. Montero J. 4. Pulido R. 14. Rodriguez D. 19. Soko P. 32. Sule
Coaches
de la Barrera R.	Albes R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
21', Alex Suarez 🟨,
22', Gharbi I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Fuster M. ↓, Cruz R. ↑,
60', Rodriguez K. ↓, Loiodice E. ↑,
60', Alex Suarez ↓, Clemente E. ↑,
63', Cruz R. 🟨,
66', Buurmeester Z. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
66', Morata A. ↓, Soko P. ↑,
66', Pena R. ↓, Alex Sancris ↑,
69', Ramirez S. ↓, Ivan Jaime ↑,
81', Alex Sancris 🟨,
83', Kechta Y. ↓, Sule ↑,
87', Betancor J. ↓, Romero E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 2.

Recent performances by Las Palmas have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leganés is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Las Palmas might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Arvelo A. (Coach's decision) Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Cedeno E. (Hamstring Injury) Garcia A. (Thigh Injury) Jese (Red Card) Marvin (Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury) Viti Rozada (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Leganés: Diawara A. (Injury) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury) Tejero A. (Injury) del Cura U. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11
15	Leganes	8	3	2	3	6:11	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
29.08.26	Girona - Las Palmas	5:2 ✺
22.08.26	Ceuta - Las Palmas	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Las Palmas - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Las Palmas - Neom	0:1 ✺
28.07.26	Las Palmas - Leiria	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
29.08.26	Leganés - Eldense	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Real Oviedo - Leganés	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Girona - Leganés	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.26	Leganés - Al-Rayyan	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Swansea City - Leganés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.04.26	Las Palmas - Leganés	2:0
20.09.25	Leganés - Las Palmas	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
18.05.25	Las Palmas - Leganés	0:1
25.08.24	Leganés - Las Palmas	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
18.02.23	Leganés - Las Palmas	0:0
09.09.22	Las Palmas - Leganés	1:0
28.03.22	Las Palmas - Leganés	4:2

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