Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday


	Almeria B		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.2	3.6
	1.94	3.39	3.94
	1.98	3.53	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.99)	3.37 ↑ (3.36)	3.69 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almeria B
47.7%

Draw
27.3%

Villanovense
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27.5%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

24.8%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almeria B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almeria B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Almeria B - Villanovense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Romera J. M. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almeria B won 1.

Recent matches Almeria B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villanovense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Almeria B is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Almeria B won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.4:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Almeria B won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almeria B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.01.25	Linense - Almeria B	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Almeria B - Águilas	1:3 ✺
22.12.24	Almeria B - Orihuela	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Cadiz CF B - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Almeria B - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLL
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.01.25	Villanovense - Antoniano	1:4 ✺
12.01.25	La Unión - Villanovense	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Granada B - Villanovense	2:2 ✺
15.12.24	Villanovense - Linares Deportivo	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Xerez CD - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.09.24	Villanovense - Almeria B	0:1
14.04.19	Villanovense - Almeria B	2:1
25.11.18	Almeria B - Villanovense	0:0
06.03.16	Almeria B - Villanovense	1:3
18.10.15	Villanovense - Almeria B	1:0
21.03.15	Almeria B - Villanovense	0:0
02.11.14	Villanovense - Almeria B	0:0

Almeria B - Villanovense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide