Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday


	Villanovense		Linares Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.85	2.35
	3	2.9	2.38
	3.13	2.83	2.48
	3.08	2.83	2.44	Watch
	3.02	2.96	2.42
	3	2.9	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.52)	2.88 ↑ (2.84)	2.41 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villanovense
30.3%

Draw
31.8%

Linares Deportivo
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

32.2%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

29.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villanovense's form might have worsened.

Linares Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Linares Deportivo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Villanovense - Linares Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Arteaga Garcia R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 2 - 0, Arteaga Garcia R. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Villanovense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Linares is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Villanovense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Villanovense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.12.24	Xerez CD - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Linense - Villanovense	3:1 ✺
24.11.24	Villanovense - Águilas	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Orihuela - Villanovense	4:1 ✺
10.11.24	Villanovense - Cadiz CF B	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLW
- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.12.24	Linares Deportivo - Linense	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Águilas - Linares Deportivo	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Linares Deportivo - Orihuela	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Cadiz CF B - Linares Deportivo	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Linares Deportivo - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.02.17	Villanovense - Linares Deportivo	0:0
25.09.16	Linares Deportivo - Villanovense	2:1
07.02.16	Linares Deportivo - Villanovense	1:2
20.09.15	Villanovense - Linares Deportivo	1:0

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