Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, RFAF


	Almeria B		Xerez Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.95	2.3
	2.92	3	2.3
	3.2	2.93	2.43
	3.06	3	2.34
	3	2.75	2.4
	2.87	3.39	2.35
	3	2.98	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.03)	3 (3)	2.35 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almeria B
30.6%

Draw
30.5%

Xerez Deportivo
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

30.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

30.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almeria B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Xerez Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Almeria B - Xerez Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Iglesias D. Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
71', Fidel Cedillo Segura P. 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Almeria B has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Xerez Deportivo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Almeria B won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Almeria B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Xerez Deportivo - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.83%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almeria B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.03.26	Antoniano - Almeria B	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Almeria B - CD Extremadura	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	La Unión - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Almeria B - Puente Genil	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	UCAM Murcia - Almeria B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTLWL
- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.03.26	Xerez Deportivo - Melilla	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Lorca Deportiva - Xerez Deportivo	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Antoniano - Xerez Deportivo	0:0 ✺
25.02.26	Xerez Deportivo - Real Jaén	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Xerez Deportivo - CD Extremadura	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.11.25	Xerez Deportivo - Almeria B	1:1
30.03.25	Almeria B - Xerez Deportivo	0:1
16.11.24	Xerez Deportivo - Almeria B	0:0

Almeria B - Xerez Deportivo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide