Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Xerez Deportivo		Melilla

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.98	3.4
	2.19	3.01	3.55
	2.11	3.06	3.5
	2.1	2.8	3.5
	2.1	3.26	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.12)	3.02 ↑ (3)	3.49 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez Deportivo
43.4%

Draw
30.3%

Melilla
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

30.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.5%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Xerez Deportivo - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Lorenzo O. ⚽,
85', 1 - 1, Udom E. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, Udom E. ⚽,

Preview

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Xerez Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.03.26	Lorca Deportiva - Xerez Deportivo	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Antoniano - Xerez Deportivo	0:0 ✺
25.02.26	Xerez Deportivo - Real Jaén	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Xerez Deportivo - CD Extremadura	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Puente Genil - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLTT
- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.03.26	Melilla - Antoniano	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	UCAM Murcia - Melilla	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Melilla - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Melilla - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Xerez CD - Melilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.11.25	Melilla - Xerez Deportivo	1:1

Xerez Deportivo - Melilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide