The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UCAM Murcia 70.3%
Draw 20.6%
Almeria B 9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.1%
22.5%
11.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.9%
21.6%
10.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Almeria B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
UCAM Murcia - Almeria B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Gazquez J. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Soto A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 2 - 1, Moreno I. ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 4.
UCAM Murcia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Almeria B has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Almeria B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, UCAM Murcia is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:1. (average 1.3:0.1).
Including home matches between the teams, UCAM Murcia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 1.5:0).
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