The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Almirante Brown 44.3%
Draw 34.1%
Mitre 21.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
38.8%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
36.9%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almirante Brown's performance.
Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almirante Brown that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (+5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
40%
30%
Almirante Brown - Mitre Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Almirante Brown will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Mitre will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Almirante Brown: 2.5% – 64.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Galvan B. (G) 3. Alegre Rojas G. 9. Bazan N. 6. Cabral G. 4. Cardozo E. 5. Gauna S. 7. Gonzalez R. 2. Levi M. 11. Moreyra G. 10. Pascual L. 8. Villoldo T.
1. Ledesma J. (G) 5. Alessandroni J. 7. Avaro E. 3. Ferrari F. 10. Lopez A. 9. Machado M. 11. Maldonado M. 4. Mieres B. 2. Minissale P. 6. Romero M. 8. Vazquez M.
Substitutes
17. Abreliano M. 20. Almada T. 15. Altamirano G. 12. Bottini A. (G) 13. Fernandez R. 19. Martinez E. 16. Velazquez J. 14. Velurtas P. 18. Vera S.
14. Abello D. 17. Correa L. 16. Ferrari M. 19. Gonzalez R. 15. Montenegro M. 18. Ramirez A. 13. Rodriguez S. 12. Unrein G. (G) 20. Zarate J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Levi M. ⚽, Cardozo E. (A),
43', Vazquez M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Machado M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bazan N. ↓, Vera S. ↑,
62', Lopez A. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
63', Gonzalez R. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
67', Vazquez M. ↓, Montenegro M. ↑,
67', Maldonado M. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
71', Cardozo E. ↓, Abreliano M. ↑,
71', Moreyra G. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
78', Montenegro M. 🟨,
79', 2 - 1, Vera S. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Pascual L. ↓, Velazquez J. ↑,
80', Avaro E. ↓, Zarate J. ↑,
88', Galvan B. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Federation decision.
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 3.
In recent matches, Almirante Brown has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Mitre's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Almirante Brown is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Almirante Brown won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 1.5:0).
Last Results with these Odds
Mitre - the odds 3.69 are the expected chance of winning is 25.31%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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