Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 17

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday


	Alondras		Deportivo A Coruña B

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.95	2.1
	3.15	2.8	2.1
	3.2	3	2.06
	3.3	2.86	2.21
	3.2	3.16	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (4.44)	2.95 ↓ (3.67)	2.13 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alondras
27.8%

Draw
30.2%

Deportivo A Coruña B
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

24.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

23.1%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alondras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alondras's performance.

Deportivo A Coruña B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo A Coruña B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alondras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña B than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo A Coruña B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alondras - Deportivo A Coruña B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Alondras is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Deportivo B is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alondras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Deportivo B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alondras won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Alondras won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alondras CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.01.23	Silva SD - Alondras	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Paiosaco - Alondras	2:1 ✺
17.12.22	Alondras - Gran Peña	3:3 ✺
11.12.22	Alondras - Barco	3:0 ✺
08.12.22	Viveiro - Alondras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTWL
- Deportivo A Coruña B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.01.23	Deportivo A Coruña B - Paiosaco	2:0 ✺
07.01.23	Deportivo A Coruña B - Barco	4:1 ✺
17.12.22	RC Villalbes - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Deportivo A Coruña B - Somozas	0:1 ✺
08.12.22	UD Ourense - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.09.22	Deportivo A Coruña B - Alondras	1:1
19.03.22	Deportivo A Coruña B - Alondras	0:0
14.11.21	Alondras - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:0
09.02.20	Alondras - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:0
15.09.19	Deportivo A Coruña B - Alondras	4:1

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