Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Barco		Alondras

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.88	2.32
	19.97	4.21	1.26	Watch
	3	2.88	2.38
	2.3	3.2	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.06 ↑ (2.27)	3.29 ↑ (3.2)	2.21 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barco
15.8%

Draw
33.8%

Alondras
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

26.7%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barco's form might have worsened.

Alondras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alondras's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barco than the current prediction. (+21.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alondras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barco - Alondras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 🟥,
90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barco won 0.

Barco has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alondras is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Barco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Barco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Barco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
26.10.25	Lugo B - Barco	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Barco - Gran Peña	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Silva SD - Barco	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Barco - Céltiga	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Barco - Boiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLWL
- Alondras CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Alondras - Compostela	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Estradense - Alondras	4:0 ✺
12.10.25	Alondras - Somozas	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Montañeros - Alondras	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Alondras - Arosa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
07.04.23	Barco - Alondras	1:2
11.12.22	Alondras - Barco	3:0
10.04.22	Alondras - Barco	2:1
04.12.21	Barco - Alondras	2:2
26.01.20	Alondras - Barco	1:0
10.03.19	Alondras - Barco	1:0
12.10.18	Barco - Alondras	3:0

Barco - Alondras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide